Please use BAYES rule! The other examples aren’t showing this problem sovled using Bayes rule. solve…

Please use BAYES rule! The other examples aren’t showing this
problem sovled using Bayes rule.

solve using Bayes rule only! no z-scores allowed.
In an back yard vineyard in Napa valley with 10 grape vines (just right), rain in the spring and dry through summer, roughly binomial with N=800, P=.6. In a drought the yield is Bin while if the year is too wet, the yield of useful grapes per vine change the probability of a just right year is about. on a just right year the wine can sell for 100 dollars/bottle, on a dry ye will sell for 60 dollars a bottle, on wet year it will sell for 30 dollars absolute value >5 assume the probability is 0) a. The yield for all 10 vines was more than 4810 grapes. Given i. What is the probability that you will be pe vines in a row, if the weather works well gh summer, the yield for each vine is distributed ht the yield is Binomial with N=700 and P=.65, grapes per vine is N=600, P=.7. Under climate ant year is about.2, of a too wet vear is.1, and a dry year is.l. rs/bottle, on a dry year the quality drops so it it will sell for 30 dollars a bottle. (For a Z score with was more than 4810 grapes. Given this yield: is the probability that you will be able to sell for 100 dollars a bottle? (Hint, Break it down, given the information, what is the pre a just right year, a dry year, or a wet year.) the information, what is the probability of 4810 or more from 10 vines, given ii. What is the probability that you will be selling for 60 dollars a bottle? ill. What is the probability that you can only sell for 30 dollars a bottle? IV. What is your expected revenue per bottle

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